{"id":826,"date":"2025-07-05T23:44:37","date_gmt":"2025-07-05T20:44:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/?p=826"},"modified":"2025-07-05T23:59:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-05T20:59:58","slug":"dxy-eurusd-brent-wtiusd-ve-nasdaq100-ndx-ve-de-btc-hakkinda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/2025\/07\/05\/dxy-eurusd-brent-wtiusd-ve-nasdaq100-ndx-ve-de-btc-hakkinda\/","title":{"rendered":"DXY, EURUSD, BRENT, WTIUSD ve NASDAQ100 (NDX) ve de BTC hakk\u0131nda"},"content":{"rendered":"

F\u0130NANS F\u0130Z\u0130\u011e\u0130 -21-<\/p>\n

Diyorlar ki, USD\u2019nin ($) ve dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile DXY\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015f yolunun ta\u015flar\u0131 d\u00f6\u015fenmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Ayn\u0131 kan\u0131day\u0131m.
Dahas\u0131, BRENT ve WTIUSD fiyatlar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekleniyormu\u015f. Bununla da ayn\u0131 kan\u0131day\u0131m.
L\u00e2kin, ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki pek \u00e7ok yaz\u0131m\u0131zda de\u011findi\u011fimiz \u00fczere, son \u00fc\u00e7 d\u00f6rt y\u0131ld\u0131r, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 USD ile de\u011fil EURUSD ile ters ilgile\u015fim (\u2018negative correlation\u2019) sergilemekteydi. Yani biri d\u00fc\u015ferken di\u011feri y\u00fckselmekteydi. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile, \u2018\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde EURUSD ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 birlikte d\u00fc\u015fecek ise, aradaki ilgile\u015fimin i\u015fareti art\u0131ya m\u0131 d\u00f6necek acaba, yoksa eksi mi olacak?\u2019 sorusu hayli \u00f6nem kazanacak olabilir. En az\u0131ndan bu sat\u0131rlar\u0131n yazan\u0131 i\u00e7in.
S\u00f6z\u00fc uzatmak yerine, grafiklere ba\u015fvural\u0131m. Grafik 1\u2019de \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00e7izilmi\u015f BRENT ve DXY, Grafik 2\u2019de de \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00e7izilmi\u015f BRENT ve EURUSD davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 incelenebilir.
S\u00f6z konusu incelemenin bir sonucu olarak, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ile EURUSD\u2019nin ters ilgileni\u015fime son vermi\u015f oldu\u011fu ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ile EURUSD\u2019nin olumlu (art\u0131l\u0131) ilgileni\u015fime d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sonucu \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131labilir.
Eh, konu buraya dek s\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne g\u00f6re, NASDAQ100 ile DXY ilgile\u015fimine bakmamak olur mu? Grafik 3\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fi gibi, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7inde ve k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine ikisi birden d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015fse de grafi\u011fin genelinde ters ilgile\u015fim bask\u0131nd\u0131r.
Grafik 4\u2019de ise Bitcoin ile DXY aras\u0131nda bir s\u00fcre devam etmi\u015f olan art\u0131l\u0131 ilgile\u015fimin son aylarda eksili olageldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Grafik 1<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Grafik 2<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Grafik 3<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Grafik 4<\/p>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

F\u0130NANS F\u0130Z\u0130\u011e\u0130 -21- Diyorlar ki, USD\u2019nin ($) ve dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile DXY\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015f yolunun ta\u015flar\u0131 d\u00f6\u015fenmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Ayn\u0131 kan\u0131day\u0131m.Dahas\u0131, BRENT ve WTIUSD fiyatlar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekleniyormu\u015f. Bununla da ayn\u0131 kan\u0131day\u0131m.L\u00e2kin, ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki pek \u00e7ok yaz\u0131m\u0131zda de\u011findi\u011fimiz \u00fczere, son \u00fc\u00e7 d\u00f6rt y\u0131ld\u0131r, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 USD ile de\u011fil EURUSD ile ters ilgile\u015fim (\u2018negative correlation\u2019) sergilemekteydi. Yani biri d\u00fc\u015ferken di\u011feri y\u00fckselmekteydi. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1425,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-genel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/826","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1425"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=826"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/826\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=826"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=826"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.metu.edu.tr\/caglart\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=826"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}